A rematch of the top 3 from the San Felipe headline the Santa Anita Derby. Dortmund looks to remain undefeated and One Lucky Dane steps up in class.
The Skinny:
Dortmund is undefeated, battle tested and larger than life. This monster of a horse if learning the game slowly. Has displayed speed, grit, stamina and strong gallops over the local surface. Recent works have been stamina laden and enters as the horse to beat. Doesn’t need to lead. But most likely he is just faster than these horses. Speed to run at this race if Bad Read Sanchez goes. If you got it – Flaunt It.
One Lucky Dane is taking a big class rise off the allowance win. His allowance win was on a “conveyor belt” riding the speed bias and going wire to wire. Seems like a small horse, small and runs his race. Have a feeling too much too soon. Facing legit good horses in this race and I expect a regression. May be forced to duel with Bad Read Sanchez.
Cross the Line tries dirt for the first time and goes up in class. Has some speed, but this guy is bringing a knife to a gunfight and it’s not going to be pretty. No Shot.
Bolo took his shot at Dortmund in the San Felipe. Tracked in 3rd, made a move and then flattened out in the lane. Can improve from that race with addition of Mike Smith. Second race in form cycle. Additional dirt workout experience. don’t overlook. Wins $10 for 2nd place in the Beauty Contest.
Prospect Park – ran green in the stretch of San Felipe. Has learned to rate the last couple of races and learning to finish in his races. Look for him to lay behind and make a run down the stretch. Talented horse still has a chance to really run a huge race in this spot. Fast recent works. Don’t dismiss completely.
Bad Read Sanchez off a long layoff and brings speed to the race. Has a series of long workouts and speedy workouts and should be fresh and sent to the lead. Very ambitious placing and not expecting a win.
Fair Line:
Dortmund: 4/5
Bolo 6/1
The Choice:
Dortmund is the big dog until proven otherwise. A man among boys and Bigger, Faster, Stronger than the rest.
Exacta:
Dortmund over Bolo